Navigating the PSA Backlog: Why Pre-Grading is Your Best Defence

The Grading Bottleneck: What You Need to Know
The landscape of professional card grading has shifted dramatically over the last few months. According to reports from The Athletic, PSA is currently grappling with a staggering 10 million card backlog, leading to partial halts in submission tiers. This news comes on the heels of a record-breaking 2025, where major authenticators processed over 26 million cards, with Pokémon TCG submissions leading the charge.
For the average collector, this isn't just a statistic—it is a logistical headache. When turnaround times stretch and submission tiers are suspended or restricted, the cost of a 'miss' becomes significantly higher. Sending a card in for grading is no longer just about the fee; it is about the opportunity cost of having your capital tied up in a slab that might return with a disappointing grade. With the industry moving toward a more mature market phase, the days of 'blindly' submitting every potential hit are effectively over.
Why Precision Matters More Than Ever
In a market where PSA graded over 11.5 million TCG cards in 2025 alone, the competition for those coveted high-grade labels is fierce. Collectors are increasingly finding that the difference between a PSA 9 and a PSA 10 often comes down to microscopic details that are easily missed by the naked eye.
When you submit a card, you are paying for the expertise of the grader, but you are also paying for the time and the risk of the process. If a card has a subtle surface scratch, a slightly soft corner, or off-centre alignment, it is likely to return in a lower grade bracket. In the current climate of backlogs and fluctuating service fees, receiving a lower-than-expected grade is more than just a personal disappointment—it is a financial setback. This is where the importance of pre-screening becomes paramount. By identifying these flaws before your card ever reaches a mailroom, you can decide whether it is worth the investment to grade it at all, or if you are better off keeping it raw or selling it as-is.
Making Smarter Submission Decisions
Before you commit to the wait times and costs associated with professional grading, it is wise to leverage technology to get an objective look at your collection. GradingCardboard offers a free centering tool and £1 AI Grading Reports, providing a quick, cost-effective way to assess your card's centering, corners, edges, and surface. By using these tools to perform a 'dry run' of the grading process, you can gain a clearer picture of your card's condition without the need for a subscription or a long-term commitment. This allows you to filter out cards that are unlikely to meet your desired grade, ensuring that only your best candidates enter the queue.
Takeaway for Collectors
As the grading market continues to mature and backlogs remain a reality, the 'spray and pray' method of submitting cards is no longer sustainable.
- Audit Before You Ship: Always perform a thorough inspection of your cards under bright light and magnification.
- Use AI Tools: Utilise pre-grading technology to get an objective assessment of centering and surface condition.
- Calculate the ROI: Consider the current market value of the card in a lower grade versus the cost of grading and the time spent waiting.
- Be Selective: In a high-volume environment, quality beats quantity every time. Focus your budget on cards that have a genuine chance of achieving the grade you desire.
Sources: The Athletic · Yahoo Sports · GemRate
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